1. Not financial advice
- Nothing here is a recommendation, solicitation or offer to buy, sell or hold any security, nor an endorsement of any lawmaker's trading.
- We do not know your financial situation, goals or risk tolerance. Information that is useful to one person may be unsuitable for another.
- Before making any investment decision, do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.
- Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of all capital. Past performance — of a lawmaker, a ticker or a signal — is not a guarantee of future results.
2. Where the data comes from
- Trades are self-reported by members of Congress in Periodic Transaction Reports required by the STOCK Act, published by the US House Clerk and the US Senate Office of Public Records.
- We ingest those filings via public-domain datasets that parse the official documents, and refresh them on a schedule. A link to the original filing is kept with each trade where available.
- Lawmaker names, parties, states and photos come from the public unitedstates/congress-legislators and unitedstates/images projects.
- Hillradar AI is an independent product. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the US Congress, any government body, any lawmaker, or any company mentioned.
3. Known limitations of disclosure data
- Delay: lawmakers may file up to 45 days after a trade, and some file late. By the time a trade is public, the price may have moved.
- Ranges, not amounts: filings disclose dollar ranges (e.g. $15,001 – $50,000). Our "volume" figures use the upper bound of each range and are estimates.
- Ownership: many trades are by a spouse, dependent child or a joint account, or by a manager without the lawmaker's direction.
- Parsing errors: official filings are PDFs and web forms; automated parsing can mis-read a ticker, date or amount. Amended filings may not be reflected immediately.
- Coverage: some assets (bonds, funds, private holdings) have no ticker and are excluded from stock-level analysis.
4. What AI Signals and track records are
- A signal is a statistical summary: how many lawmakers bought or sold a ticker in a window, how much, from which parties, how recently, and how the buyers' past disclosed trades performed. These factors are combined into a 0–100 score. The weights are our own design and may change.
- A track record (hit rate, average excess return) is computed from the historical performance of a lawmaker's disclosed buys over 6 months versus the market, using a public research dataset. It is backward-looking, based on small samples for many members, and ignores transaction costs, taxes and timing.
- AI theses are generated by a language model from the facts above (or a template when AI is off). They can be inaccurate, incomplete or out of date and are not reviewed by a human analyst.
- Historically, only about half of congressional buys beat the market over 6 months. A signal increases attention, not certainty.
5. No warranty
All information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind, express or implied, including accuracy, completeness, timeliness, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. Hillradar AI is not liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the Service. See the Terms & Conditions for the full limitation of liability.
6. Third-party links & platforms
Links to official filings, company sites or social platforms are provided for convenience. We do not control and are not responsible for their content, availability or privacy practices. Alerts are delivered through Telegram, WhatsApp (Meta) and email providers subject to their own terms.
7. Corrections
If you believe a trade, name or figure is wrong, email info@hillradar.com with a link to the official filing and we will review it promptly.